Southampton Wvs
Ipswich Town W
COMPLETEDEngland · Women's Championship · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southampton W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Southampton W 0-0 Ipswich Town W
Original prediction
Southampton W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 54.8% | 45.1% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.4% | 27.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 20.8% | 27.1% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Southampton W
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Southampton W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80