Southampton U21vs
Queens Park Rangers U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southampton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Southampton U21 5-1 Queens Park Rangers U21
Original prediction
Southampton U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 64.9% | 52.0% | -12.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.98 | 18.3% | 22.7% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 5.44 | 16.8% | 25.3% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Southampton U21
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Southampton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40