Southampton U21vs
Juventus U21
COMPLETEDWorld · Premier League International Cup · 10/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southampton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Southampton U21 1-1 Juventus U21
Original prediction
Southampton U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 17:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 43.5% | 42.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.2% | 26.5% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.3% | 30.7% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Southampton U21
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Southampton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40