GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

South Shields are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Spalding United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Spalding United hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - North, favouring a draw with 14.1% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

29.5%

Model confidence

14.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South ShieldsWLWLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Spalding UnitedWWWDD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South ShieldsSpalding United
33.3Attack66.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power88.7
1.30xG1.23
View match centre →