South Shieldsvs
Spalding United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Shields · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: South Shields 0-0 Spalding United, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
South Shields 1-1 Spalding United
Original prediction
South Shields
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.3% | 46.2% | -19.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.60 | 19.7% | 27.8% | 8.1 pts |
| Away | 6.00 | 15.1% | 26.0% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.0 pts
Projected Score
South Shields 0–0 Spalding United
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
South Shields
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
South Shields has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60