South Shieldsvs
Chester
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: South Shields 0-0 Chester, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
South Shields 3-1 Chester
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.9% | 36.5% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.4% | 30.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.7% | 32.7% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
South Shields 0–0 Chester
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
South ShieldsLLWLW
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ChesterWLWWL
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
South ShieldsChester
43.3Attack43.3
66.7Defence70.0
70.0Form56.7
60.8Power58.1
0.85xG0.78