GGOALVIO

England · National League - North · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

South Shields are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Alfreton Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and South Shields hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.9% in the National League - North, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.9%

Model confidence

33.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South ShieldsLLLLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Alfreton TownWLDDL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
South ShieldsAlfreton Town
50.0Attack55.1
83.3Defence63.8
100.0Form58.0
83.3Power59.7
1.21xG1.21
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