Victoria NPLVictoria NPL
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:10
South Melbourne

South Melbourne

Home
L
00
Full time
Preston Lions

Preston Lions

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Draw(35%)
Win probability
South Melbourne
34%
Draw
35%
Preston Lions
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
South Melbourne
34
Preston Lions
94
Defence
South Melbourne
27
Preston Lions
27
Momentum
South Melbourne
0
Preston Lions
100
Danger (xG)
South Melbourne
0.90
Preston Lions
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (South Melbourne)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Preston Lions)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (South Melbourne)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Preston Lions)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
LWD
Preston LionsPreston Lions
WWWL

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
South Melbourne34%
Draw35%
Preston Lions31%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

South Melbourne head into this in Victoria NPL fixture in mixed form (L), while Preston Lions arrive in mixed form (W). South Melbourne have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Preston Lions over 1 games.

The model rates South Melbourne's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Preston Lions defence, and Preston Lions's attack at 94/100 against a 27/100 South Melbourne backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

South Melbourne have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Preston Lions have won 3 of their last 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between South Melbourne and Preston Lions in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 38% confidence. Win probabilities: South Melbourne 3371%, Draw 3500%, Preston Lions 3129%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

South Melbourne

South Melbourne

L
vs Green Gully
28 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Bula
12 May 2026
42
D
@ Moreton City Excelsior
14 Nov 2025
33
Preston Lions

Preston Lions

W
@ Avondale
4 Jul 2026
32
W
@ Sunshine Georgies
27 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Heidelberg United
20 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Altona Magic
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win South Melbourne vs Preston Lions?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for South Melbourne vs Preston Lions?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in South Melbourne vs Preston Lions?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in South Melbourne vs Preston Lions?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more