GGOALVIO

South Melbourne logoSouth MelbournevsHume City logoHume City

COMPLETED

Australia · Victoria NPL · 2/19/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

South Melbourne are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hume City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South MelbourneWLLLD

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hume CityLWLDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
South MelbourneHume City
52.8Attack66.7
54.2Defence55.6
56.9Form63.9
54.7Power63.3
1.50xG1.74
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