South Melbournevs
Heidelberg United
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL · 8/23/2026, 5:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Melbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
South Melbourne 1-2 Heidelberg United
Original prediction
South Melbourne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
South Melbourne
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
South MelbourneWDWWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Heidelberg UnitedLDLDW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
South MelbourneHeidelberg United
52.8Attack52.8
54.2Defence54.2
56.9Form47.2
54.7Power52.7
1.60xG1.33