South Melbournevs
Fremantle City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Australia Cup · 8/9/2026, 9:40:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Melbourne · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
South Melbourne 3-3 Fremantle City
Original prediction
South Melbourne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
South Melbourne
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
South MelbourneWWWDW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Fremantle CityDWWWD
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South MelbourneFremantle City
83.3Attack83.3
33.3Defence33.3
66.7Form66.7
64.8Power64.8
2.31xG1.97