South Korea Wvs
Uzbekistan W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 9/25/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Korea W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
South Korea W 6-3 Uzbekistan W
Original prediction
South Korea W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 86.5% | 54.5% | -32.0 pts |
| Draw | 9.51 | 9.6% | 22.7% | 13.1 pts |
| Away | 23.29 | 3.9% | 22.8% | 18.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
South Korea W
Probability
54.5%
Model confidence
54.5%
South Korea W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00