South Korea Wvs
Korea DPR W
COMPLETEDWorld · Asian Games Women · 9/21/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Korea DPR W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
South Korea W 1-1 Korea DPR W
Original prediction
Korea DPR W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.04 | 12.8% | 33.7% | 21.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 19.2% | 25.1% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 1.32 | 68.0% | 41.2% | -26.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-26.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–17%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Korea DPR W
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Korea DPR W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 19 · GA 3 · avg 3.80/0.60