South Koreavs
Venezuela
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Korea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
South Korea 0-0 Venezuela
Original prediction
South Korea
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 56.4% | 45.4% | -11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.7% | 26.6% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.91 | 18.9% | 28.1% | 9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
South Korea
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
South Korea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20