South Koreavs
Uzbekistan
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/6/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Korea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
South Korea 2-0 Uzbekistan
Original prediction
South Korea
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 18:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.9% | 40.8% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.3% | 26.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 4.65 | 19.8% | 33.2% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
South Korea
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
South Korea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60