South Hobartvs
South East Utd.
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 4/12/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while South East Utd. are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 3.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 50.4-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Hobart
Probability
90.0%
Model confidence
12.3%
South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.75/3.25