GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 5/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Devonport City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South HobartWWWWW

GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Devonport CityWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
South HobartDevonport City
100.0Attack100.0
70.4Defence64.9
87.0Form80.7
83.0Power78.6
2.35xG1.76
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