GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania NPL · 4/22/2023, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

South Hobart are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Devonport City are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South HobartLWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Devonport CityWWWD

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 3.50/0.75

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
South HobartDevonport City
100.0Attack100.0
70.4Defence64.9
87.0Form80.7
83.0Power78.6
2.35xG1.76
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