South Hobartvs
Devonport City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 4/22/2023, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
South Hobart are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWDW), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Devonport City are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 3.50 scored and 0.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 78.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Hobart
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.75/1.50
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 3.50/0.75