South Hobartvs
Clarence Zebras
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 3/15/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Hobart · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
South Hobart are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Clarence Zebras are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (83.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.7% in the Tasmania NPL, while South Hobart holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South Hobart
Probability
82.7%
Model confidence
82.7%
South Hobart has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 27 · GA 4 · avg 5.40/0.80
GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40