GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/22/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2

Lowconfidence

South Hobart II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 4.40 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Olympia Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 10 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart II hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.8% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while South Hobart II holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 89% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart II

Probability

58.2%

Model confidence

6.8%

South Hobart II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South Hobart IILWLDW

GF 22 · GA 21 · avg 4.40/4.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Olympia WarriorsWLDWW

GF 19 · GA 13 · avg 3.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
South Hobart IIOlympia Warriors
100.0Attack95.8
56.3Defence43.8
79.2Form66.7
73.0Power66.6
3.87xG2.44
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