GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

South Hobart II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 5.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while New Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart II hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Town

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

7.3%

New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South Hobart IIWWWLW

GF 28 · GA 11 · avg 5.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
New TownWDWWL

GF 21 · GA 8 · avg 4.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
South Hobart IINew Town
100.0Attack100.0
56.3Defence64.6
79.2Form66.7
73.0Power71.0
2.41xG2.47
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