South Hobart IIvs
New Town
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/19/2026, 4:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
South Hobart II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 5.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while New Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 4.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and South Hobart II hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while New Town holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New Town
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
7.3%
New Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 28 · GA 11 · avg 5.60/2.20
GF 21 · GA 8 · avg 4.20/1.60