GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Hobart II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-2

Lowconfidence

South Hobart II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Hobart City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and south Hobart II hold a 11.9-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely result in the Tasmania Southern Championship, favouring South Hobart II with 7.1% confidence, a 87% BTTS chance and 94% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Hobart II

Probability

64.8%

Model confidence

7.1%

South Hobart II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South Hobart IIWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Hobart CityWWWDD

GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
South Hobart IIHobart City
100.0Attack88.9
56.3Defence40.0
79.2Form57.8
73.0Power61.1
4.20xG2.22
View match centre →