South East Utd.vs
Ulverstone
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania NPL · 5/23/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South East Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
South East Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 5.00 conceded, while Ulverstone are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and South East Utd. hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the Tasmania NPL, while South East Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
South East Utd.
Probability
66.1%
Model confidence
8.0%
South East Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 25 · avg 1.60/5.00
GF 4 · GA 20 · avg 0.80/4.00