GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 3/29/2026, 3:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Lowconfidence

South East Utd. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 3.20 scored and 6.20 conceded, while Taroona are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Taroona hold a 54.7-point power-rating edge (8.3 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taroona

Probability

82.6%

Model confidence

9.6%

Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South East Utd.LLWWD

GF 16 · GA 31 · avg 3.20/6.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TaroonaWLWWW

GF 23 · GA 9 · avg 4.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
South East Utd.Taroona
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence51.0
0.0Form58.8
8.3Power63.0
1.28xG4.50
View match centre →