GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 5/3/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart Utd. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3

Highconfidence

South East Utd. U21 are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 8.80 conceded, while Hobart Utd. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 5.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart Utd. hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (8.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart Utd. holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 91% BTTS chance and 95% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart Utd.

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Hobart Utd. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South East Utd. U21LLLLL

GF 3 · GA 44 · avg 0.60/8.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Hobart Utd.LLLLW

GF 6 · GA 27 · avg 1.20/5.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
South East Utd. U21Hobart Utd.
33.3Attack75.0
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form31.3
8.3Power31.3
2.71xG3.88
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