GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Taroona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

South East Utd. U21 are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 4.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Taroona are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Taroona hold a 54.7-point power-rating edge (8.3 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.4% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Taroona holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Taroona

Probability

81.4%

Model confidence

81.4%

Taroona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South East Utd. U21WL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 4.50/2.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
TaroonaWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
South East Utd. U21Taroona
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence51.0
0.0Form58.8
8.3Power63.0
1.28xG4.50
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