GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Southern Championship · 4/13/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hobart City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

South East Utd. U21 are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 5.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Hobart City are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hobart City hold a 51.9-point power-rating edge (8.3 v 60.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.3% in the Tasmania Southern Championship, while Hobart City holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hobart City

Probability

77.3%

Model confidence

77.3%

Hobart City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South East Utd. U21WWL

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 5.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Hobart CityLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.67/4.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
South East Utd. U21Hobart City
33.3Attack85.4
0.0Defence41.7
0.0Form56.3
8.3Power60.2
1.53xG4.50
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