GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 5/4/2025, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

South Cardiff are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South CardiffLDLDW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Thornton RedbacksLDWLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
South CardiffThornton Redbacks
27.8Attack52.2
38.9Defence26.1
24.1Form36.2
33.2Power39.1
1.46xG1.86
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