South Cardiffvs
Thornton Redbacks
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 5/4/2025, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
South Cardiff are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Thornton Redbacks
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40