South Cardiffvs
Lake Macquarie
COMPLETEDAustralia · NNSW League 1 · 5/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
South Cardiff are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 40.4-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lake Macquarie
Probability
84.2%
Model confidence
11.3%
Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40