GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/11/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

South Cardiff are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 40.4-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.0% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

83.0%

Model confidence

83.0%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South CardiffLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieLWWWL

GF 15 · GA 14 · avg 3.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
South CardiffLake Macquarie
27.8Attack100.0
38.9Defence55.6
24.1Form75.9
33.2Power73.6
0.80xG3.56
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