NNSW League 1NNSW League 1
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:01
South Cardiff

South Cardiff

Home
D
00
Full time
Dudley Redhead United

Dudley Redhead United

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Dudley Redhead United(34%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
South Cardiff
39%
Draw
27%
Dudley Redhead United
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
South Cardiff
9
Dudley Redhead United
9
Defence
South Cardiff
91
Dudley Redhead United
6
Momentum
South Cardiff
33
Dudley Redhead United
0
Danger (xG)
South Cardiff
0.00
Dudley Redhead United
0.00
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.35 xG for South Cardiff and 1.38 xG for Dudley Redhead United. South Cardiff's projected xG of 1.35 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-1 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Dudley Redhead United's defensive record — 5 clean sheets in 10 matches — combined with South Cardiff's limited attacking output (1 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 2.73 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — South Cardiff's Defensive Stability (91) and Dudley Redhead United's (6) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (South Cardiff)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Dudley Redhead United)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (South Cardiff)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Dudley Redhead United)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
South CardiffSouth Cardiff
D
Dudley Redhead UnitedDudley Redhead United
L

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
South Cardiff39%
Draw27%
Dudley Redhead United34%

South Cardiff leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Dudley Redhead United Backed to Win — Model Projects 0-1

South Cardiff host Dudley Redhead United in NNSW League 1. South Cardiff have recorded LWLLLD in recent matches while Dudley Redhead United arrive with a run of WDDLLD.

Key factors

: 🔒 Defensive Stability Dudley Redhead United have kept 5 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: ⚽ Attacking Efficiency South Cardiff have averaged 0.61 goals per game recently while Dudley Redhead United have managed 0.94. Dudley Redhead United have been the more prolific side — a factor the model weighs in its Dudley Redhead United win projection.
: ⚠️ Upset Risk South Cardiff have won 1 of their last 10 matches — a run of form that keeps this fixture competitive. While Dudley Redhead United carry the stronger underlying metrics, South Cardiff's recent results mean the gap is narrower than the headline verdict implies.

Why GoalVio backs this

Dudley Redhead United hold a slim but consistent edge across the key input metrics. No single factor clears the threshold required to claim a material advantage, but chance quality, defensive organisation, and recent form all point in the same direction — and when multiple independent signals align, that convergence is the model's case for Dudley Redhead United.

Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Dudley Redhead United, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If South Cardiff score first, the game becomes genuinely open.

Risk factors

  • Dudley Redhead United have been conceding 1.60 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The xG gap is narrow at 0.03 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
  • Dudley Redhead United have averaged under a goal per game recently — their attacking output away from home may not be enough.

Recent form

South Cardiff

South Cardiff

D
vs Lake Macquarie
16 May 2026
00
Dudley Redhead United

Dudley Redhead United

L
@ New Lambton
16 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win South Cardiff vs Dudley Redhead United?

GoalVio's model predicts Dudley Redhead United to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for South Cardiff vs Dudley Redhead United?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in South Cardiff vs Dudley Redhead United?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in South Cardiff vs Dudley Redhead United?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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