GGOALVIO

World · Africa Cup of Nations - Women · 7/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Africa W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

South Africa W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Mali W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and South Africa W hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Africa Cup of Nations - Women, while South Africa W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Africa W

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

South Africa W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South Africa WDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Mali WDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
South Africa WMali W
46.7Attack25.0
53.3Defence33.3
46.7Form33.3
51.9Power34.1
1.76xG0.97
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