World Cup
South Africa
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South Korea leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
South Africa head into this in World Cup fixture at Estadio BBVA in mixed form (LWDL), while South Korea arrive in mixed form (LLW). South Africa have a 25% win rate across their last 4 matches, compared to 33% for South Korea over 3 games.
Both sides are defensively strong — South Africa (66/100) and South Korea (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.
South Africa have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. South Korea have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.
South Africa have generated 0.80 xG per game recently while conceding 1.11 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. South Korea have generated 0.85 xG per game recently while conceding 0.79 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.
South Africa have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.
The GoalVio engine projects South Korea to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: South Africa 2720%, Draw 3290%, South Korea 3990%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
Recent form
South Africa
South Korea
Frequently asked questions
Who will win South Africa vs South Korea?
GoalVio's model predicts South Korea to win with 40% confidence.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs South Korea?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.
Will both teams score in South Africa vs South Korea?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in South Africa vs South Korea?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.