South Africa U20vs
Zambia U20
COMPLETEDWorld · COSAFA U20 Championship · 9/25/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Africa U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
South Africa U20 4-2 Zambia U20
Original prediction
South Africa U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.4% | 40.3% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 27.7% | 27.4% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 25.9% | 32.4% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
South Africa U20
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
South Africa U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50