South Africa U20vs
Eswatini U20
COMPLETEDWorld · COSAFA U20 Championship · 9/23/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
South Africa U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
South Africa U20 2-0 Eswatini U20
Original prediction
South Africa U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 81.2% | 51.0% | -30.1 pts |
| Draw | 7.22 | 12.5% | 23.6% | 11.1 pts |
| Away | 14.29 | 6.3% | 25.4% | 19.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.11 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
South Africa U20
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
South Africa U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33