GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/10/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sturt Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

South Adelaide Panthers are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 2.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sturt Lions hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (35.9 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sturt Lions

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Sturt Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South Adelaide PanthersWWL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 2.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Sturt LionsWLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
South Adelaide PanthersSturt Lions
53.0Attack53.0
19.7Defence45.5
28.8Form40.9
35.9Power46.5
1.85xG2.48
View match centre →