GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/16/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

South Adelaide Panthers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Salisbury United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury United hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (26.3 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the South Australia State League 1, while Salisbury United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury United

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

8.9%

Salisbury United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

South Adelaide PanthersLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Salisbury UnitedLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
South Adelaide PanthersSalisbury United
39.4Attack40.9
6.1Defence28.8
22.7Form25.8
26.3Power34.3
1.81xG2.03
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