Sousensevs
Castro Daire
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B · 8/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sousense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sousense 0-1 Castro Daire
Original prediction
Sousense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Sousense
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Sousense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SousenseLW
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Castro DaireL
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/2.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
SousenseCastro Daire
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.21xG1.03