SousavsMaguary PE

Sousa are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Maguary PE are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Maguary PE hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.