Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CRB · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sousa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CRB are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CRB hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Copa Do Brasil, while CRB holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CRB
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
14.4%
CRB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00