Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sotra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sotra 3-0 Vidar
Original prediction
Sotra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 79.8% | 53.8% | -25.9 pts |
| Draw | 6.78 | 13.5% | 23.0% | 9.6 pts |
| Away | 13.48 | 6.8% | 23.1% | 16.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Sotra
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Sotra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SotraWWWLW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VidarDLLWL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
SotraVidar
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
80.3Power45.3
2.03xG1.30