Sotravs
Pors Grenland
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 9/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sotra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sotra 3-2 Pors Grenland
Original prediction
Sotra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.9% | 51.1% | -16.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.78 | 18.9% | 24.7% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 6.84 | 13.2% | 24.1% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Sotra
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Sotra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SotraLDWWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pors GrenlandWWLLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SotraPors Grenland
83.3Attack55.6
83.3Defence55.6
100.0Form44.4
89.7Power53.1
2.07xG1.22