Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sotra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Sotra are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Os are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sotra hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (79.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sotra holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sotra
Probability
72.7%
Model confidence
9.0%
Sotra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40