Sotravs
Kvik Halden
COMPLETEDNorway · 2. Division - Group 1 · 10/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sotra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sotra 3-0 Kvik Halden
Original prediction
Sotra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.49 | 60.4% | 52.1% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.22 | 21.4% | 24.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.2% | 23.2% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.49 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Sotra
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Sotra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SotraLWLDW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kvik HaldenLWLLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SotraKvik Halden
71.4Attack51.5
63.5Defence59.1
60.3Form51.5
63.7Power54.9
1.96xG1.02