2. Division - Group 12. Division - Group 1
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:01
Sotra

Sotra

Home
L
13
Full time
jerv

jerv

Away
WW
Straume Fotballhall
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Sotra(40%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: jerv
Win probability
Sotra
40%
Draw
26%
jerv
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sotra
34
jerv
86
Defence
Sotra
6
jerv
66
Momentum
Sotra
0
jerv
100
Danger (xG)
Sotra
0.90
jerv
2.25
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sotra)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (jerv)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Sotra)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (jerv)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
SotraSotra
LW
jervjerv
WWW

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Sotra40%
Draw26%
jerv34%

Sotra leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sotra head into this in 2. Division - Group 1 fixture at Straume Fotballhall in mixed form (L), while jerv arrive in decent form (WW). Sotra have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for jerv over 2 games.

Tactically, jerv hold the edge. Their elite attack (86/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Sotra defence (6/100), while Sotra's attack faces a solid jerv backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Sotra have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. jerv have been excellent on the road, winning all 2 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

jerv have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Sotra to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Sotra 3990%, Draw 2610%, jerv 3400%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Sotra 0Draws 01 jerv
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
Sotra
L13
jerv

Recent form

Sotra

Sotra

L
vs jerv
28 Jun 2026
13
W
@ Vidar
14 May 2026
31
jerv

jerv

W
@ Sotra
28 Jun 2026
31
W
vs Sandviken
14 Jun 2026
21
W
@ Arendal
16 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sotra vs jerv?

GoalVio's model predicts Sotra to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sotra vs jerv?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Sotra vs jerv?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sotra vs jerv?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more