Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sotra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Sotra are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gneist are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sotra hold a 75.8-point power-rating edge (79.8 v 4.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sotra holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sotra
Probability
59.7%
Model confidence
59.7%
Sotra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 19 · avg 1.20/3.80