Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sotra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Sotra are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sotra hold a 68.1-point power-rating edge (79.8 v 11.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sotra holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sotra
Probability
83.5%
Model confidence
11.1%
Sotra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 17 · GA 14 · avg 3.40/2.80