GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia NPL · 4/1/2023, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Perth RedStar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Sorrento are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Perth RedStar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Perth RedStar hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 56.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Western Australia NPL, while Perth RedStar holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Perth RedStar

Probability

53.5%

Model confidence

53.5%

Perth RedStar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SorrentoLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Perth RedStarLDWDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SorrentoPerth RedStar
33.3Attack49.2
38.1Defence54.0
38.1Form60.3
39.0Power56.7
0.97xG1.82
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