GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · 3/23/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sorrento · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Highconfidence

Sorrento are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while ECU Joondalup are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sorrento hold a 48.1-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.2% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Sorrento holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sorrento

Probability

84.2%

Model confidence

84.2%

Sorrento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SorrentoDDLWL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ECU JoondalupLDD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
SorrentoECU Joondalup
100.0Attack77.3
79.4Defence7.6
93.7Form36.4
88.7Power40.6
4.50xG1.11
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