Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sorrento 1-2 Bari
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SorrentoWWWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BariDWWDL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SorrentoBari
34.2Attack50.0
58.8Defence50.0
42.1Form50.0
46.8Power50.0
1.00xG1.05