GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/23/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sonthofen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Sonthofen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Türkspor Augsburg are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sonthofen hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (49.7 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Sonthofen holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sonthofen

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Sonthofen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SonthofenWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Türkspor AugsburgLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
SonthofenTürkspor Augsburg
52.0Attack28.4
51.0Defence49.0
44.1Form28.4
49.7Power37.2
1.79xG0.74
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